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2024-12-14 01:33:02

Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.Peru's central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 5%.["Shanghai housing subsidy of 300,000 yuan" and "down payment of 20,000 yuan for 1.8 million hardcover existing houses"? Rumor has come] Recently, there have been a number of housing advertisements on the short video platform. The agent who released the housing claimed that he could receive the "housing subsidy" when buying a house in Shanghai, with the amount ranging from 200,000 yuan to 300,000 yuan. An intermediary declared: "Shanghai Songjiang New Town has a total price of 760,000 yuan and a housing subsidy of 250,000 yuan." "After receiving the subsidy, you can buy a 78-square-meter house with a down payment of 50,000 yuan." There is also an intermediary who claims: "The minimum payment can be only 20,000 yuan, and you can buy a finely decorated existing house with a total price of 1.8 million yuan." The reporter consulted a number of intermediaries and learned that the so-called "purchase subsidies" appearing in short videos are not government subsidies, but gimmicks. When the house-watchers consult subsidies on the spot, different intermediaries will have different calibers. Usually, there are three routines-one is to raise the price first and then lower the price. Second, the so-called "subsidy" is actually that developers lend money to buyers to pay down payment, and buyers have to pay interest. Third, the commission returned by the intermediary to the buyers is packaged as a "subsidy". (Shanghai rumor platform)


Zou Lan, Director of the Monetary Policy Department of the Central Bank: A moderately loose monetary policy orientation has enhanced the coping capacity and space of monetary policy. The Central Economic Work Conference that ended yesterday released a series of positive signals. The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that the Central Economic Work Conference changed the orientation of monetary policy from "moderate" to "moderately loose" next year, and made it clear that more active and promising macro policies would be implemented, highlighting the determination of policies to promote economic recovery. Zou Lan, director of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China, said that the implementation of moderately loose monetary policy is also the embodiment of countercyclical adjustment. At present, the adverse effects brought by changes in the external environment have deepened, and China's economic operation still faces many difficulties and challenges. The moderately loose monetary policy orientation has enhanced the ability and space for monetary policy to cope. (CCTV News)A number of projects have accelerated the implementation of the national water network construction, and the South-to-North Water Transfer Project is a major strategic infrastructure to alleviate the serious shortage of water resources in northern China, and it is the main skeleton and artery of the national water network. On December 12th, the first phase of the East Middle Route of South-to-North Water Transfer Project ushered in the 10th anniversary of full water supply. The project has transferred more than 76.7 billion cubic meters of water, providing stable and high-quality water sources for 45 large and medium-sized cities and 185 million people in 7 provinces and cities along the route, and supporting the GDP growth of more than 16 trillion yuan in the northern region. The reporter was informed that in the next step, China will continue to promote the construction of major national water network projects, and a number of large reservoirs, large irrigation areas and other projects are being accelerated. (Economic Information Daily)Seiko Technology: It has cooperated with a number of aerospace (low-altitude) enterprises. Seiko Technology (002006) recently said in an institutional survey that the company has cooperated with aerospace (low-altitude) enterprises such as Yiweite, Jieyi Technology and Shenzhen Collaborative Innovation to expand the application of new carbon fiber composite materials and vigorously develop low-altitude economic industries. In the future, the company will continue to deepen, consolidate and iterate the advantages of independent innovation and intelligent manufacturing of carbon fiber equipment in the whole industrial chain, enter the production of carbon fiber composite products as soon as possible by improving the company's precision processing ability and cooperating with enterprises with mature technologies, and vigorously develop the aerospace economic industry, compete for new tracks and build new engines through the brand-new development model of "equipment leading, material collaboration and application support".


Tianmao Group: The premium income of Guohua Life Insurance in 2024 was about 32.694 billion yuan. Tianmao Group announced that the accumulated original insurance premium income of Guohua Life Insurance Co., Ltd., a holding subsidiary of the company, was about 32.694 billion yuan from January 1, 2024 to November 30, 2024. The above-mentioned original insurance premium income data has not been audited.Broadcom said that the market size of the company's artificial intelligence (AI) accelerator is expected to be $15 billion to $20 billion next year.Turkish President meets US Secretary of State, focusing on the situation between Syria and Palestine and Israel. Turkish President Erdogan meets visiting US Secretary of State Blinken at Essenboa International Airport in Ankara, the capital, and the two sides hold closed-door talks. It is reported that the talks focused on bilateral relations, regional and international hot issues, especially the latest development of the situation in Syria. The two sides discussed how to strengthen regional cooperation, jointly support the political transition led by Syria and promote the establishment of a "responsible" and "inclusive" government. Erdogan emphasized that Turkey has always insisted on safeguarding Syria's territorial integrity and sovereign unity. Erdogan pointed out that Turkey will never compromise in the struggle against the extremist organization "Islamic State". As the only NATO country directly at war with the Islamic State, Turkey will continue to take measures to combat threats, including the PKK and its affiliated organizations, ensure national security and prevent any forces from taking advantage of the current situation in Syria. In addition, the two sides also exchanged views on the current Palestinian-Israeli situation. Erdoğ an and Blinken agreed that it is urgent to achieve a ceasefire in Gaza as soon as possible and reach an agreement on the exchange of detainees, and stressed that humanitarian assistance to Palestinians should be strengthened.

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